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REBOLLEDO

REBOLLEDO

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Ofrecemos todos los servicios propios de la jardinería y la floristería.


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SANTANDER  (CANTABRIA)- 39007 C/ Camilo Alonso Vega, 29 
SANTANDER  (CANTABRIA)- 39004 Pl. del Cuadro, 4 

Código Postal: 39007 Localidad: SANTANDER


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www.floristeriarebolledo.com


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LNgraZNihsm
2015-10-10

Gerardo,No soy analista poledtico, pero deseo ceotntarme lo siguiente:1. Estoy convencido que el DF no es representativo del paeds. Eso es tedpico de los perredistas (e.g. AMLO). Por ejemplo, ellos creen que las manifestaciones en la capital contra Pef1a son un buen indicativo del descontento a nivel nacional, lo cual no necesariamente es cierto. Ello tiene como consecuencia que tratan de imponer sus puntos de vista a la fuerza (y si no pregfantale a los del #yosoy132 con Adela Micha). Y como aclaracif3n tampoco soy priista.2. Eleged el DF porque es la entidad que gobernf3 AMLO y en la cual el PRD arrasf3 en las elecciones de 2012: al menos en la capital AMLO no sumf3. Lo anterior solo es un ejemplo para disentir con tu argumentacif3n en un grupo bastante homoge9neo en lo que respecta a preferencias electorales y en comparacif3n con otras entidades.3. La realidad es que no sabemos cf3mo se votf3 por senadores y diputados: La izquierda (PRD, PT y Movimiento Ciudadano) obtuvieron alrededor de 13 millones en cada una de las ce1maras. No obstante, creo, asumes que los ciudadanos que votaron por un senador de la izquierda votaron tambie9n por un diputado de la izquierda, lo cual no necesariamente es cierto. Hay un grupo de ciudadanos que votaron fanicamente por la izquierda, pero no sabemos de que9 tamaf1o es. Sereda interesante saber de que9 tamaf1o es el voto diferenciado y determinar quie9n le da votos a quie9n. Pero insisto NO TENEMOS INFORMACId3N PARA HACER ESA AFIRMACId3N, y por tanto en ane1lisis que presentas sigue estando incompleto. Podreda suceder que 20 (o 15.6) millones votaron por al menos un candidato a senador o diputado y lo que se observa es un voto diferenciado. A lo mejor no te gusta, pero las argumentaciones se hacen con nfameros. Saludos.



NIxu0YO2N8
2015-10-11

Apreciable Dr. Esquivel,Lamento no ser lo bastante claro (como omevabinte usted es). Lo que deseo poner en claro es que no es posible afirmar lo que menciona (no se trata de gustos). Espero que la siguiente argumentacif3n le sea me1s clara:15 millones votaron por AMLO13 millones por un candidato a senador13 millones por un candidato a diputadoCue1ntos por un senador Y un diputado? No lo sabemos. Lo que sabemos es que la base son 13 millones. Lo que ud. supone es que solo hay votos puros voto por la izquierda y ya. No obstante, la evidencia no es clara como usted lo indica. Le pongo el mismo supuesto:Si fueran 20 millones los que votaron por al menos un candidato a diputado o senador de izquierda. Ellos obtuvieron me1s votos que AMLO. Supuestos por los que no votaron los 20 millones siempre la izquierda: los que cada quien se imagine. A lo mejor usted tiene razf3n, pero la argumentacif3n que presenta y, sobre todo, la informacif3n existente no permite de1rsela. Espero que no se moleste. La siguiente eleccif3n podre1 observarse si usted teneda la razf3n. Al fin, este es un espacio para disentir o no?





























































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